Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Wednesday, November 03, 2004

Interested in Exit Polls?

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There's some very well-structured commentary at The Daily Kos - considering it's usually described as "left leaning", it's showing the clots at Fox what "fair and balanced" actually means when it's not jsut a slogan that some douchebag thought up in a marketing meeting.

Of particular interest inside the dKos is TheProf2222's Diary.

At risk of simply regurgitating, it's really worth noticing the county-by-county stats for key states like Florida. Also of real interest is how strongly the Latino vote is progressing relative to Democrat expectations.

This from MyDD via dKos:

Ohio - African American precincts are performing at 106% what we expected, based on historical numbers. Hispanic precincts are at 144% what we expected. Precincts that went for Gore are turning out 8% higher then those that went Bush in 2000. Democratic base precincts are performing 15% higher than GOP base precincts.

Florida - Dem base precincts are performing 14% better than Bush base precincts. In precincts that went for Gore, they are doing 6% better than those that went for Bush. African American precincts at 109%, Hispanic precincts at 106%.

Pennsylvania - African American precincts at 102% of expectations, Hispanics at 136% of expectations. The Gore precincts are doing 4 percent better than bush precincts.

Michigan - Democratic base precincts are 8% better than GOP base states. Gore precincts are 5% better than Bush.

From this, it really looks like a Kerry win is on the cards.

DKos also has some good stuff about the House and Senate races too.