Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Thursday, January 13, 2005

OzRant: Another Burst From the Blocks...

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Major Market Indices

Another "burst out of the blocks, then fade for the rest of the session" kind of day. This is a market that's behaving like it really needs a rest, but there are a lot of vested interests who think that weight of money can forestall the inevitable 10-15% pullback that's going to happen (soon).

Check out the chart - and notice below (the chart down in the Futures area) that the SPI was well and truly leading (nay, driving) the market up until they failed at an attempted test of 4100.

All Ordinaries Intraday 5 minute chart

(Click Image to Enlarge)

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders - fell by -9.50 points (-0.44%), finishing at 2146.40 points. The major winners in the "big guns" were -

  • QBE (QBE), +$0.24 (1.56%) to $15.58 on volume of 1.76m shares;
  • Woodside (WPL), +$0.27 (1.32%) to $20.70 on volume of 1.03m shares;
  • Amcor (AMC), +$0.03 (0.41%) to $7.39 on volume of 2.97m shares;
  • AMP (AMP), +$0.03 (0.41%) to $7.43 on volume of 4.64m shares; and
  • BHP Billiton (BHP), +$0.01 (0.07%) to $15.33 on volume of 8.44m shares.

By and large it was an ordinary day for the banks, who helped drag the overall market lower.

  • ANZ Bank (ANZ), -$0.27 (1.3%) to $20.47 on volume of 2.95m shares;
  • Westpac (WBC), -$0.24 (1.24%) to $19.14 on volume of 3.39m shares;
  • Westfield (WDC), -$0.18 (1.05%) to $17.04 on volume of 5.42m shares;
  • Telstra Corporation (TLS), -$0.05 (1.01%) to $4.88 on volume of 20.16m shares; and
  • Coles Myer (CML), -$0.05 (0.53%) to $9.44 on volume of 3.85m shares.

At the smaller end of the market's capitalisation scale, the ASX Small Ordinaries (XSO) rose by 14.00 points (0.60%), finishing at 2347.00 points. The major winners in the "pop-guns" were -

  • Hardman (HDR), +$0.11 (6.63%) to $1.77 on volume of 14.05m shares;
  • Agenix (AGX), +$0.03 (6%) to $0.53 on volume of 35,000 shares;
  • Arc Energy (ARQ), +$0.08 (4.85%) to $1.73 on volume of 389,000 shares;
  • GRD (GRD), +$0.11 (4.37%) to $2.63 on volume of 39,000 shares; and
  • McGuigan Wines (MGW), +$0.24 (4.15%) to $6.02 on volume of 993,000 shares.

The biggest losers for the day in the small-caps included

  • Kingsgate (KCN), -$0.10 (3.75%) to $2.57 on volume of 89,000 shares;
  • Croesus (CRS), -$0.02 (3.51%) to $0.55 on volume of 2.68m shares;
  • Perilya (PEM), -$0.03 (3.23%) to $0.90 on volume of 367,000 shares; and
  • Norwood Abbey (NAL), -$0.02 (3.23%) to $0.60 on volume of 109,000 shares.

 

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
XAOAll Ordinaries4069.10.80.02%0
XTLS&P/ASX 202146.4-9.5-0.44%0
XFLS&P/ASX 503984.8-7.6-0.19%0
XTOS&P/ASX 1003306.1-2.5-0.08%0
XJOS&P/ASX 2004069.5-0.9-0.02%0
XKOS&P/ASX 3004075.9-0.7-0.02%0
XMDS&P/ASX Mid-Cap 504109.524.10.59%0
XSOS&P/ASX Small Ordinaries2347140.6%0

All Ordinaries Market Internals

XAOXSO
Advances226106
Declines14850
Advancing Volume229.81m83.76m
Declining Volume171.6m35.17m

Broad Market Internals

IndicatorLevel+/-%
Advances4946715.69
Declines381-60-13.61
Unchanged319258.5
Total Traded Value2558-20-0.78
New 52 Week Highs53817.78
New 52 Week Lows10-3-23.08
Equity Call Option Volume39499-1903-4.6
Equity Put Option Volume29213-5187-15.08

S&P/ASX200 GICS Sector Indices

The top sector for the day was Energy which gained 1.87% to 7232.10 points. The sector was helped by the overnight move in Crude (notwithstanding the obvious chicanery that happened in the rude futures). Stocks that led the sector today included

  • Hardman (HDR), +$0.11 (6.63%) to $1.77 on volume of 14.05m shares;
  • Oil Search (OSH), +$0.10 (5.43%) to $1.94 on volume of 10.37m shares;
  • Arc Energy (ARQ), +$0.08 (4.85%) to $1.73 on volume of 389,000 shares;
  • Roc Oil (ROC), +$0.06 (3.3%) to $1.88 on volume of 1.01m shares; and
  • Caltex (CTX), +$0.22 (2.04%) to $10.98 on volume of 368,000 shares.

Oil Search went birko for no genuinely apparent reason - of course energy generally was pretty strong thanks to overnight recovery in Crude prices. OSH released an update regarding several fields in which it has operations (Kapul 1 in Papua, and Al Ahkaf 1 and Nabrajah-4 in Yemen), but there was so little of consequence in the update that it appears that the price action was driven solely by the idea that "there's an announcement coming"... typical chat-room ramping of the type not seen since mid-2000.

Second in the sector leadership stakes was Information Technology which gained 1.31% to 401.90 points. The sector leaders were -

  • MYOB (MYO), +$0.03 (2.42%) to $1.27 on volume of 1.7m shares;
  • Baycorp (BCA), +$0.06 (1.9%) to $3.22 on volume of 126,000 shares;
  • Iress (IRE), +$0.06 (1.56%) to $3.90 on volume of 32,000 shares;
  • Computershare (CPU), +$0.09 (1.51%) to $6.04 on volume of 3.2m shares; and
  • Vision (VSL), +$0.02 (1.42%) to $1.43 on volume of 318,000 shares.

The bronze today went to Utilities which gained 0.49% to 4593.50 points. The sector was led by

  • Duet (DUE), +$0.06 (2.41%) to $2.55 on volume of 1.62m shares;
  • Pacific Hydro (PHY), +$0.07 (1.73%) to $4.12 on volume of 120,000 shares;
  • Energy Developments (ENE), +$0.04 (1.19%) to $3.40 on volume of 121,000 shares;
  • AGL (AGL), +$0.11 (0.8%) to $13.92 on volume of 500,000 shares; and
  • Alinta (ALN), -$0.00 (0%) to $8.57 on volume of 357,000 shares.

The worst-performed sector today was Telecommunications which lost 0.89% to 1746.90 points. The sector was dragged lower by Telstra (really, the sector is Telstra - Telecom NZ can't compete with Telstra in terms of market cap and therefore sector weighting).

  • Telstra Corporation (TLS), -$0.05 (1.01%) to $4.88 on volume of 20.16m shares.

The other member of the "sector" - the 2-stock group that passes for a telecommunications industry group - was in the green today: Telecom NZ (TEL) rose $0.06 (1.05%) to $5.75 on volume of 626,000 shares.

Just in front of the last place on the sector table was Property Trusts which lost 0.30% to 1869.40 points. The sector was pulled down by

  • BWP Trust (BWP), -$0.03 (1.67%) to $1.77 on volume of 145,000 shares;
  • Thakral (THG), -$0.01 (1.32%) to $0.75 on volume of 522,000 shares;
  • Westfield (WDC), -$0.18 (1.05%) to $17.04 on volume of 5.42m shares;
  • Investor Property Group (IPG), -$0.02 (0.86%) to $2.30 on volume of 1.34m shares; and
  • Centro (CNP), -$0.03 (0.55%) to $5.38 on volume of 3.36m shares.
CodeGICS SectorClose+/-%Volume
XEJEnergy7232.1132.81.87%32.97m
XIJInformation Technology401.95.21.31%7.43m
XUJUtilities4593.522.20.49%39.71m
XDJConsumer Discretionary2391.210.20.43%88.88m
XNJIndustrials4958.49.20.19%3.11m
XMJMaterials6682.3100.15%89.2m
XSJConsumer Staples5516.9-9.5-0.17%20.79m
XHJHealthcare4708-12.4-0.26%31.04m
XXJASX200 ex Property Trusts4862.2-13.3-0.27%7.33m
XFJFinancials4872.6-13.6-0.28%54.6m
XPJProperty Trusts1869.4-5.6-0.3%44.66m
XTJTelecommunications1746.9-15.6-0.89%32.52m

All Ordinaries Volume Leaders

I have to say that the Volume Leaders list reminds me more and more of 99/00, when Deepgreen Minerals (DGM, which became Kidz.net via the usual back-door method of the time) routinely traded tens of millions of units a day, mostly by people whose mindset was more suited to the interior of a TAB. It's worrisome to see the same trends emerging, considering that there has never been a real fair dinkum cleanout of the market (that said, our market - despite its penny dreadful ramp-fest at the bottom end of the cap scale - is not exorbitantly priced).

 

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
LIO Lion Energy 0.0110.00110%118.28m
VSGVisiomed 0.0410.0132.26%88.39m
PNOPharmanet 0.0720.0034.35%39.9m
MRXMatrix Met 0.07-0.045-39.13%36.77m
RRS Range Resources 0.033-0.004-10.81%27.29m

All Ordinaries Top Gainers

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
TIR Titan Resources 0.120.0215%2.24m
QPXQPSX0.120.0214.29%745467
PLTPolartechnics0.40.0512.86%243150
PNA Pan Aust Resources 0.190.0212.12%12.09m
ASLAusdrill0.610.047.02%564632

All Ordinaries Top Losers

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
BOCBougainville0.5-0.04-7.41%170000
IHG Intellect Holindgs 0.028-0.002-6.67%2.91m
HLDHomeleisure0.33-0.02-5.71%289561
LOKLooksmart2.39-0.11-4.4%114003
IGO Independence Group 1.16-0.05-4.13%503347

Elsewhere in the Region...

The Kiwi Market advanced 14.27 points (0.47%) to yet another record. Seems that the sleepy little sheep-and-dairy farm across the Tasman is getting ahead of itself. Individual stocks that helped the NZSE-50 included...

  • Hellaby Holdings (HBY), +$0.15 (2.31%) to $6.65 on volume of 3,000 shares;
  • Fisher & Paykel (FPH), +$0.07 (2.21%) to $3.24 on volume of 286,000 shares;
  • Sky City Entertainment (SKC), +$0.10 (1.92%) to $5.32 on volume of 3.17m shares;
  • Baycorp Advantage (BCA), +$0.05 (1.45%) to $3.50 on volume of 104,000 shares;
  • Independent Newspapers (INL), +$0.07 (1.26%) to $5.62 on volume of 198,000 shares; and
  • AMP Limited (AMP), +$0.10 (1.25%) to $8.10 on volume of 34,000 shares.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index advanced 26.39 points (0.19%). Individual stocks that contributed to the advance included...

  • Cathay Pacific Air (0293), +$0.25 (1.79%) to $14.20 on volume of 8.96m shares;
  • Hang Lung Properties (0101), +$0.15 (1.33%) to $11.45 on volume of 6.27m shares;
  • Li & Fung (0494), +$0.15 (1.23%) to $12.30 on volume of 4.2m shares;
  • Hutchison (0013), +$0.75 (1.08%) to $70.00 on volume of 10.83m shares;
  • Cheung Kong (0001), +$0.75 (1.04%) to $72.75 on volume of 4.98m shares; and
  • Wharf Holdings (0004), +$0.25 (0.99%) to $25.60 on volume of 3.14m shares.
CountryNameClose+/-%Volume
New ZealandNZSE503072.93314.270.47%17.66m
JapanNikkei 22511372.76-80.63-0.7%51139
KoreaKOSPI878.95-1.08-0.12%240494
SingaporeStraits Times2084.124.320.21%79.95m
Hong KongHang Seng13591.726.390.19%177.05m
MalaysiaKLSE Comp933.420.090.01%50.95m

Main SFE Futures Contracts

The SPI also fell for a "pop'n'drop", touching 4097 as nuffie traders got all twitterpated with the idea of a breach of 4100. Well, it didn't happen; in fact as can be seen, once the opening orgasm in the cash market was finished, the whole thing just went limp and tried to roll over and go to sleep.

SPI Intraday 5 minute chart

(Click Image to Enlarge)

CodeInstrumentClose+/-%Volume
SPI05H SPI200 Index SFE4080140.34%9346
IR05H90-day Bank Bills SFE94.61-0.02-0.02%11630
YT05H3-yr Bond SFE94.88-0.01-0.01%57206
XT05H10-yr Bond SFE94.71-0.01-0.01%18909