Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Monday, January 10, 2005

OzRant: Time to Look for Shorts...

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

Major Market Indices

A new record - in the All Ords, the S&P/ASX200, the Small Ordinaries... it's all looking ebullient. If I was a trader of the Share Price Index futures on the SFE, I would be shorting the hell out of this market about ten minutes after the effects of tonight's US repurchase data are known (i.e., if a large repo, wait until the moonshot is spent... if the T-backed repo is small, short at 2 a.m. Oz time).

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders - rose by 4.40 points (0.20%), finishing at 2160.40 points. The major winners in the "big guns" were -

  • AMP (AMP), +$0.21 (2.91%) to $7.43 on volume of 4.95m shares;
  • Alumina (AWC), +$0.08 (1.36%) to $5.97 on volume of 1.46m shares;
  • QBE Insurance (QBE), +$0.15 (1%) to $15.13 on volume of 944,000 shares;
  • Telstra Corporatiion (TLS), +$0.04 (0.81%) to $4.98 on volume of 9.41m shares; and
  • Westpac (WBC), +$0.15 (0.77%) to $19.60 on volume of 1.9m shares.

Meanwhile the following stocks brought up the rear:

  • News Corpse A(NWSLV), -$0.44 (1.88%) to $22.96 on volume of 3.39m shares;
  • Fosters (FGL), -$0.06 (1.03%) to $5.78 on volume of 2.41m shares;
  • News Corpse B (NWS), -$0.22 (0.91%) to $23.98 on volume of 2.92m shares;
  • Wesfarmer (WES), -$0.24 (0.6%) to $39.94 on volume of 277,000 shares; and
  • Rio Tinto (RIO), -$0.15 (0.38%) to $39.10 on volume of 1.88m shares.

At the smaller end of the market's capitalisation scale, the ASX Small Ordinaries rose by 16.60 points (0.72%), finishing at 2330.50 points. The major winners in the "pop-guns" were -

  • Coffey Int (COF), +$0.27 (11.2%) to $2.68 on volume of 268,000 shares.
  • Vision Systems (VSL), +$0.10 (7.69%) to $1.40 on volume of 1.08m shares.
  • Multiemedia.com (MUL), +$0.00 (6.25%) to $0.03 on volume of 64.6m shares.
  • Peptech (PTD), +$0.11 (6.21%) to $1.88 on volume of 940,000 shares. and
  • Sunland (SDG), +$0.12 (6.09%) to $2.09 on volume of 974,000 shares.

The following stocks brought up the rear of the small-cap brigades (note Chemeq, in the context of the "gaps get closed" palaver I wrote last Friday):

  • Mosaic Oil (MOS), -$0.04 (15.91%) to $0.19 on volume of 27.67m shares;
  • Chemeq (CMQ), -$0.17 (9.71%) to $1.58 on volume of 2m shares;
  • Citect (CTL), -$0.05 (4.72%) to $1.01 on volume of 195,000 shares; and
  • Orbital (OEC), -$0.01 (4.55%) to $0.11 on volume of 102,000 shares.

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
XAOAll Ordinaries4071.78.90.22%0
XTLS&P/ASX 202160.44.40.2%0
XFLS&P/ASX 503997.2110.28%0
XTOS&P/ASX 1003312.68.20.25%0
XJOS&P/ASX 2004074.911.70.29%0
XKOS&P/ASX 3004080.611.70.29%0
XMDS&P/ASX Mid-Cap 504090.43.20.08%0
XSOS&P/ASX Small Ordinaries2330.516.60.72%0

All Ordinaries Market Internals

XAOXSO
Advances20388
Declines17069
Advancing Volume251.58m127.69m
Declining Volume140.01m67.78m

Broad Market Internals

IndicatorLevel+/-%
Advances452-57-11.2
Declines3986218.45
Unchanged308-4-1.28
Total Traded Value1852-113-5.75
New 52 Week Highs651632.65
New 52 Week Lows600
Equity Call Option Volume342455551.65
Equity Put Option Volume28767337313.28

S&P/ASX200 GICS Sector Indices

The top sector for the day was Industrials which gained 0.93% to 4999.20 points. The sector was helped by

  • Macquarie Infrastructure Group (MIG), +$0.17 (4.76%) to $3.74 on volume of 20.27m shares;
  • Patrick Corp (PRK), +$0.24 (3.66%) to $6.80 on volume of 1.36m shares;
  • Transfield (TSE), +$0.17 (2.5%) to $6.96 on volume of 63,000 shares;
  • Hills Motorways (HLY) +$0.18 (2.05%) to $8.95 on volume of 179,000 shares; and
  • Tollholdgs (TOL), +$0.23 (1.79%) to $13.08 on volume of 362,000 shares.

Second in the sector leadership stakes was Information Technology which gained 0.75% to 403.80 points. The sector leaders were -

  • Vision Systems(VSL), +$0.10 (7.69%) to $1.40 on volume of 1.08m shares;
  • Baycorp (BCA), +$0.05 (1.57%) to $3.24 on volume of 1.79m shares;
  • Iress (IRE), +$0.05 (1.32%) to $3.85 on volume of 56,000 shares;
  • Infomedia (IFM), +$0.01 (1.3%) to $0.78 on volume of 721,000 shares; and
  • Computershare (CPU), +$0.01 (0.17%) to $6.05 on volume of 717,000 shares.

The bronze today went to ASX200 ex Property Trusts which gained 0.70% to 4877.50 points. The sector was led by

  • AMP (AMP), +$0.21 (2.91%) to $7.43 on volume of 4.95m shares;
  • Macquarie Bank (MBL), +$1.35 (2.85%) to $48.70 on volume of 505,000 shares;
  • Lend Lease (LLC), +$0.30 (2.29%) to $13.38 on volume of 760,000 shares;
  • IOOF (IFL), +$0.18 (2.13%) to $8.62 on volume of 89,000 shares; and
  • Record Investments (RCD), +$0.11 (1.87%) to $5.98 on volume of 247,000 shares.

The worst-performed sector today was Energy which lost 0.67% to 7051.40 points. The sector was dragged lower by

  • Origin Energy (ORG), -$0.20 (2.78%) to $7.00 on volume of 1.02m shares;
  • Arc Energy (ARQ), -$0.03 (1.73%) to $1.70 on volume of 501,000 shares;
  • Caltex (CTX), -$0.07 (0.66%) to $10.60 on volume of 137,000 shares;
  • Santos (STO), -$0.03 (0.36%) to $8.41 on volume of 1.39m shares; and
  • Woodside (WPL), -$0.06 (0.29%) to $20.44 on volume of 594,000 shares.

Just in front of the last place on the sector table was Consumer Discretionary which lost 0.54% to 2402.10 points. The sector was pulled down by

  • Miller's Retail (MRL), -$0.02 (1.92%) to $1.02 on volume of 652,000 shares;
  • News Corpse A (NWSLV), -$0.44 (1.88%) to $22.96 on volume of 3.39m shares;
  • G.U.D. (GUD), -$0.13 (1.41%) to $9.08 on volume of 326,000 shares;
  • Aristocrat (ALL), -$0.12 (1.24%) to $9.52 on volume of 664,000 shares; and
  • Harvey Norman (HVN), -$0.03 (0.97%) to $3.07 on volume of 707,000 shares.
CodeGICS SectorClose+/-%Volume
XNJIndustrials4999.245.90.93%38.34m
XIJInformation Technology403.830.75%8.36m
XXJASX200 ex Property Trusts4877.533.80.7%27.61m
XFJFinancials4880.623.50.48%80.76m
XUJUtilities4628.517.50.38%2.46m
XMJMaterials6627.6210.32%68.03m
XTJTelecommunications1772.14.60.26%10.16m
XSJConsumer Staples5603.11.40.02%17.49m
XHJHealthcare4692.2-3.9-0.08%8.44m
XPJProperty Trusts1863-4.3-0.23%55.45m
XDJConsumer Discretionary2402.1-13.1-0.54%25.6m
XEJEnergy7051.4-47.8-0.67%15.87m

All Ordinaries Volume Leaders

Code Name Close +/- % Volume
MUL Multiemedia.com 0.034 0.002 6.25% 64.6m
ANM Aust Magnesium 0.03 0.008 44.44% 61.73m
ZYL Zylotech 0.008 unchanged 31.96m
DYL D Yellow 0.03 0.008 40% 29.58m
MOS Mosaic Oil 0.185 -0.035 -15.91% 27.67m

All Ordinaries Top Gainers

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
PEPPeplin0.490.0716.67%884150
NHCNew Hope Corp1.620.1610.96%329709
NVENovera Energy0.3650.038.96%773592
VSL Vision Systems 1.40 0.10 7.69%1.08m
OMIOccupational Med1.120.076.67%17500

All Ordinaries Top Losers

Oh dear... look at poor little Chemeq... it's "doing the Metabolic dump". Sure, Mosaic Oil did worse, but just think of how optimistic all those nuffies were as they hit "Confirm" on their little CommSec accounts to buy at market just after CMQ came back on the boards...

I honestly don't feel genuine schadenfreude about things like this. But for God's sake, how obvious was it?

As Bill Bonner is fond of saying, investors don't get what they expect, but they often get what they deserve. And if folks dive into a stock based on basically empty news, they deserve to get towelled (and usually do). They ought to be subject of ridicule, but they ought also to be pitied (oncethe trading day is done... never pity the other guy while your trading platform is open)

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
MOSMosaic Oil0.185-0.04-15.91%27.67m
CMQChemeq1.58-0.17-9.71%2m
PSGPalm Springs0.14-0.01-6.67%6060
AATAutron Corp0.18-0.01-5.26%10000
GDMGoldstream0.37-0.02-5.13%32376

Elsewhere in the Region...

The Kiwi Market declined -10.63 points (-0.34%). Individual stocks that were a but suck included...

  • Independent Newspapers (INL), -$0.10 (1.74%) to $5.65 on volume of 89,000 shares;
  • Michael Hill International (MHI), -$0.14 (1.72%) to $8.00 on volume of 4,000 shares;
  • Mainfreight Limited (MFT), -$0.04 (1.68%) to $2.34 on volume of 25,000 shares;
  • Fletcher Building (FBU), -$0.10 (1.54%) to $6.40 on volume of 843,000 shares; and
  • Pumpkin Patch Limited (PPL), -$0.04 (1.49%) to $2.65 on volume of 67,000 shares.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index declined -15.85 points (-0.12%). Individual stocks that contributed to the decline included...

  • Li & Fung (0494), -$0.30 (2.41%) to $12.15 on volume of 1.57m shares;
  • China Resources (0291), -$0.25 (2.16%) to $11.35 on volume of 3.95m shares;
  • Hang Lung Property (0101), -$0.25 (2.16%) to $11.35 on volume of 6.07m shares;
  • CNOOC (0883), -$0.08 (1.89%) to $3.90 on volume of 37.74m shares;
  • PCCW (0008), -$0.08 (1.52%) to $4.88 on volume of 8.3m shares; and
  • Denway Motors (0203), -$0.03 (0.96%) to $2.58 on volume of 13.22m shares.
CountryNameClose+/-%Volume
New ZealandNZSE503076.266-10.63-0.34%18.76m
JapanNikkei 225Closed for Holiday
KoreaKOSPI871.560.720.08%226773
SingaporeStraits Times2092.316.730.32%36.95m
Hong KongHang Seng13559.01-15.85-0.12%176.99m
MalaysiaKLSE Comp917.861.580.17%32.49m

Main SFE Futures Contracts

CodeInstrumentClose+/-%Volume
SPI05MSPI200 Index SFE407860.15%8763
IR05M90-day Bank Bills SFE94.6100%4623
YT05M3-yr Bond SFE94.77-0.01-0.01%19146
XT05M10-yr Bond SFE94.590.010.01%7796