Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Friday, January 14, 2005

OzRant: ZZZZZzzzzzzzz....

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

Friday is never prone to setting the world on fire, but today was sleepier than "Chocolates" Guiliano after one of his patented "manual sedatives". The one significant thing is that the market didn't seem to react adversely to Wall Street's big selloff - it was squishy rather than weak. It's still my view that the All Ords needs to lose some weight to wash off an overbought condition - there will be more on that theme in this week's RantPro AU mail-list (you can sign up for the various mailing lists here... so far you haven't missed much).

Major Market Indices

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders - fell by -3.60 points (-0.17%), finishing at 2142.80 points. The day's range was very tight at just 8 points (from 2138.7 to 2146.6). The major winners in the "big guns" were -

  • Woodside (WPL), +$0.29 (1.4%) to $21.00 on volume of 2.63m shares;
  • Rio Tinto (RIO), +$0.35 (0.88%) to $40.18 on volume of 4.44m shares;
  • Woolworths (WOW), +$0.09 (0.61%) to $14.74 on volume of 2.01m shares;
  • BHP Billiton (BHP), +$0.07 (0.46%) to $15.39 on volume of 6.47m shares; and
  • Coles Myer (CML), +$0.03 (0.32%) to $9.48 on volume of 7.02m shares.

The market still hasn't got the bad taste of News Corpse out of its palate - and Murdoch's agitprop machine was the big drag today. That's as it should be, if any consideration of valuation is involved - but most domestic funds mis-managers are so besotted by anyone with a bit of global "power" that they fawn over the Corpse like Republican Fundamentalists fawn over Fox News.

Apart from the Corpse, there was no obvious pattern to the laggards (although all of the major banks were weak).

  • News Corpse B (NWS), -$0.27 (1.15%) to $23.21 on volume of 7.57m shares;
  • News Corpse A (NWSLV), -$0.20 (0.89%) to $22.16 on volume of 9.41m shares;
  • Amcor (AMC), -$0.06 (0.81%) to $7.34 on volume of 1.85m shares;
  • AMP (AMP), -$0.06 (0.81%) to $7.36 on volume of 2.21m shares; and
  • Westpac (WBC), -$0.15 (0.78%) to $19.00 on volume of 2.73m shares.

The ASX Small Ordinaries - benchmark of the little guy, and the primary repository of underpriced value in this market - fell by just 0.30 points (-0.01%), finishing at 2346.70 points. Trading took place in a mind-numbingly narrow range of just 7 points - from 2342.5 to 2349.2. The close was about a point above the middle of the range.

That said, there was still plenty of son et lumiere within the little fish. The major winners were -

  • Timbercorp (TIM), +$0.14 (6.73%) to $2.22 on volume of 801,000 shares;
  • Chemeq (CMQ), +$0.10 (6.29%) to $1.69 on volume of 909,000 shares;
  • Antares (AZZ), +$0.04 (5.8%) to $0.73 on volume of 640,000 shares;
  • Perilya (PEM), +$0.05 (5.56%) to $0.95 on volume of 2.47m shares; and
  • Resolute (RSG), +$0.07 (5.34%) to $1.38 on volume of 496,000 shares.

Meanwhile the following stocks brought up the rear:

  • Miller's Retail (MRL), -$0.13 (13.13%) to $0.86 on volume of 7.45m shares;
  • Petsec (PSA), -$0.06 (5.13%) to $1.11 on volume of 271,000 shares;
  • SDI (SDI), -$0.06 (4.76%) to $1.20 on volume of 534,000 shares; and
  • Giants Reef Mining(GTM), -$0.00 (4.29%) to $0.07 on volume of 2.87m shares.

 

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
XAOAll Ordinaries4062.9-6.2-0.15%0
XTLS&P/ASX 202142.8-3.6-0.17%0
XFLS&P/ASX 503974-10.8-0.27%0
XTOS&P/ASX 1003299.3-6.8-0.21%0
XJOS&P/ASX 2004061.6-7.9-0.19%0
XKOS&P/ASX 3004068.2-7.7-0.19%0
XMDS&P/ASX Mid-Cap 504116.87.30.18%0
XSOS&P/ASX Small Ordinaries2346.7-0.3-0.01%0

All Ordinaries Market Internals

As might be expected on a Friday, the internals tell a story of a market that decided on its range, set its parameters, an went down to the Great Western for sixteen pots and a basket of chips as a warmup for a "tuning" session at the Exchange. Slightly negative, but largely moribund.

XAOXSO
Advances17466
Declines19487
Advancing Volume190.23m38.64m
Declining Volume237.25m77.74m

Broad Market Internals

See above... just a lazy Friday arvo watching the cricket update on CricInfo (unless you've got streaming video... or the old-fashioned TV-in-the-conference room).

 

IndicatorLevel+/-%
Advances408-86-17.41
Declines48910828.35
Unchanged283-36-11.29
Total Traded Value2460-327-11.73
New 52 Week Highs51-2-3.77
New 52 Week Lows13330
Equity Call Option Volume32341-7160-18.13
Equity Put Option Volume3120119856.79

S&P/ASX200 GICS Sector Indices

The top sector for the day was Energy which gained 0.96% to 7301.20 points; that's not really a huge surprise given the strength that Crude Oil has managed to rediscover this week. The sector was helped by

  • Tap Oil (TAP), +$0.05 (2.94%) to $1.75 on volume of 676,000 shares;
  • Arc Energy (ARQ), +$0.05 (2.89%) to $1.78 on volume of 1.04m shares;
  • Caltex (CTX), +$0.30 (2.73%) to $11.30 on volume of 592,000 shares;
  • Aust World (AWE), +$0.05 (2.7%) to $1.90 on volume of 2.26m shares; and
  • Oil Search (OSH), +$0.04 (2.05%) to $1.99 on volume of 4.76m shares.

Second in the sector leadership stakes was Consumer Staples which gained 0.19% to 5527.20 points. The sector leaders were seriously staple-oriented - booze and food (which ties in quite well with the Friday Arvo Lunch theme).

  • Lion Nathan (LNN), +$0.09 (1.07%) to $8.51 on volume of 584,000 shares;
  • Woolworths (WOW), +$0.09 (0.61%) to $14.74 on volume of 2.01m shares;
  • National Foods (NFD), +$0.03 (0.48%) to $6.25 on volume of 679,000 shares;
  • SPC Ardmona (SPC), +$0.01 (0.45%) to $2.22 on volume of 419,000 shares; and
  • Coles Myer (CML), +$0.03 (0.32%) to $9.48 on volume of 7.02m shares.

The bronze today went to Materials which gained 0.11% to 6689.80 points. The sector was led by

  • Timbercorp (TIM), +$0.14 (6.73%) to $2.22 on volume of 801,000 shares;
  • Kingsgate (KCN), +$0.07 (2.71%) to $2.65 on volume of 40,000 shares;
  • Excel Coal (EXL), +$0.14 (2.62%) to $5.49 on volume of 1.37m shares;
  • Centennial (CEY), +$0.09 (2.17%) to $4.24 on volume of 1.3m shares; and
  • Croesus (CRS), +$0.01 (1.85%) to $0.55 on volume of 1.44m shares.

The worst-performed sector today was Utilities which lost 1.04% to 4545.90 points. The sector was dragged lower by

  • AGL (AGL), -$0.25 (1.8%) to $13.63 on volume of 1.48m shares;
  • Aust Pipeline Trust (APA), -$0.05 (1.45%) to $3.40 on volume of 81,000 shares;
  • Alinta (ALN), -$0.02 (0.23%) to $8.54 on volume of 523,000 shares;
  • Envestra (ENV), -$0.00 (0%) to $1.10 on volume of 214,000 shares; and
  • Duet (DUE), -$0.00 (0%) to $2.54 on volume of 996,000 shares.

Just in front of the last place on the sector table was Consumer Discretionary which lost 0.52% to 2378.80 points. Odd that the booze'n'food stocks did pretty well, while the "nifty Guiliano Colorado ensemble" went phut. The sector was pulled down by

  • Miller's Retail(MRL), -$0.13 (13.13%) to $0.86 on volume of 7.45m shares on its profit downgrade;
  • Colorado (CDO), -$0.15 (2.52%) to $5.80 on volume of 337,000 shares;
  • Fairfax (FXJ), -$0.08 (1.78%) to $4.42 on volume of 2.7m shares;
  • David Jones (DJS), -$0.03 (1.3%) to $2.28 on volume of 648,000 shares; and
  • News Corpse B (NWS), -$0.27 (1.15%) to $23.21 on volume of 7.57m shares.
CodeGICS SectorClose+/-%Volume
XEJEnergy7301.269.10.96%51.8m
XSJConsumer Staples5527.210.30.19%4.91m
XMJMaterials6689.87.50.11%35.22m
XTJTelecommunications17470.10.01%109.31m
XNJIndustrials4956.4-2-0.04%3.76m
XPJProperty Trusts1865.6-3.8-0.2%71.78m
XHJHealthcare4692.3-15.7-0.33%20.38m
XFJFinancials4852.4-20.2-0.41%23.98m
XIJInformation Technology400.1-1.8-0.45%9.75m
XXJASX200 ex Property Trusts4839-23.2-0.48%79.02m
XDJConsumer Discretionary2378.8-12.4-0.52%44.1m
XUJUtilities4545.9-47.6-1.04%19.19m

All Ordinaries Volume Leaders

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
MRXMatrix Met0.069-0.003-4.17%41.63m
BROBroadtel0.0140.00555.56%34.85m
VSGVisiomed0.0410.0025.13%28.02m
OPMOptum0.0060.00120%22.41m
ZYLZylotech0.0060.00120%21.84m

All Ordinaries Top Gainers

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
PSGPalm Springs0.150.0211.11%379625
MXLMXL Ltd0.0930.0089.41%1.71m
MSTMetal Storm0.260.028.33%1.11m
QPXQPSX0.130.018.33%586500
IHGIntellect Hldgs0.030.0027.14%2.31m

All Ordinaries Top Losers

CodeNameClose+/-%Volume
TIRTitan Rsc0.082-0.033-28.7%4.65m
FLTFlight Centre16-2.86-15.16%2.25m
LOKLooksmart2.03-0.36-15.06%256837
MRLMillers Retail0.86-0.13-13.13%7.45m
CAGCape Range0.038-0.004-9.52%1.76m

Elsewhere in the Region...

The Kiwi Market declined 16.12 points (-0.52%). Individual stocks leading the decline were as follows:

  • Trustpower Limited (TPW), -$0.13 (2.33%) to $5.45 on volume of 10,000 shares;
  • Ports Of Auckland (POA), -$0.16 (2.27%) to $6.90 on volume of 17,000 shares;
  • Sky City Entertainment (SKC), -$0.11 (2.07%) to $5.21 on volume of 1.32m shares;
  • Nuplex Industries (NPX), -$0.10 (1.69%) to $5.80 on volume of 81,000 shares; and
  • ANZ Bank(ANZ), -$0.33 (1.48%) to $22.02 on volume of 1,000 shares.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index declined 63.70 points (-0.47%). Individual stocks that contributed to the decline included...

  • Denway Motors (0203), -$0.08 (2.88%) to $2.53 on volume of 25.59m shares;
  • China Unicom (0762), -$0.10 (1.72%) to $5.70 on volume of 13.4m shares;
  • Cosco Pacific (1199), -$0.25 (1.68%) to $14.60 on volume of 1.85m shares;
  • Henderson Investments (0097), -$0.15 (1.4%) to $10.60 on volume of 859,000 shares;
  • Henderson Land (0012), -$0.50 (1.35%) to $36.60 on volume of 2.4m shares; and
  • Swire Pacific A (0019), -$0.75 (1.23%) to $60.25 on volume of 1.21m shares.
CountryNameClose+/-%Volume
New ZealandNZSE503056.816-16.12-0.52%18.82m
JapanNikkei 22511451.2593.030.82%91129
KoreaKOSPI902.0616.521.87%316978
SingaporeStraits Times2078.75-3.59-0.17%68.75m
Hong KongHang Seng13509.58-63.7-0.47%223.12m
MalaysiaKLSE Comp928.33-5.77-0.62%40.24m

Main SFE Futures Contracts

That "Short the hell out of the SPI" comment I made the other day is looking OK for the present, although the thing has been pretty whippy. The market is due for an ass-kicking though, so for the present I would hold any short.

 

CodeInstrumentClose+/-%Volume
SP1SPI200 Index SFE4059-21-0.51%7802
IR190-day Bank Bills SFE94.640.020.02%11052
YT13-yr Bond SFE94.920.030.03%78949
XT110-yr Bond SFE94.750.040.04%22293