Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Thursday, May 12, 2005

OZRant: The Only Way Is Up (Baby...)

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

Today's action smacked ever so lightly of desperation. Put simply, a large proportion of the 'investor' community are of a mind that valuation be damned, this boat is floating and that's all there is to it. Their second thought - like real estate 'investors' when the Auction Squad team were known to have been around - is that they don't want to miss out on all that imagined upside. Frankly, it's irrational.

After all...

The global economy is slowing faster than the US statistical authorities can crank the magic handles, and since Australia is still little more than a mine and a farm, there's not a great deal of positives for our market (one big positive is the flexibility of the $A, which will act as a very handy shock absorber when the economic fan-splat happens).

Major Market Indices

The broad market - the ASX All Ordinaries - rose by 20.60 points (0.52%), finishing at 3979.20 points. After an early dip to 3955.5 points (the dip was finished by 10:30) it was up, up and away, with TAA.... ah, is there anything better than old jingles? (I can still remember "The wet-head is dead... long live the Dry Look from Gillette").

The day's rally was punctured at noon, with an inexplicable 10-point drop in the All Ords in less than five minutes. From there the market regained its composure (or more accurately ,its mania) and rose consistently to close at its high.

Total volume traded on the ASX was a little under 800 million units, 6.8% below its 10-day average. Of the 483 stocks in the All Ords, 208 rose and 159 fell. Volume was tilted in favour of the gainers by a margin of 1.7:1, with 282.40 million shares traded in gainers compared to 168.21 million shares traded in stocks that left holders with a loss for the session.

The Index that forms the cash basis for the SFE's Share Price Index Futures - the S&P/ASX 200 - rose by 23.20 points (0.58%), finishing at 4028.90 points.

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders - rose by 14.70 points (0.67%), finishing at 2199.60 points. Within the index members, there were 13 that rose, and 7 losers. Total volume in rising issues within the ASX20 amounted to 75.37 million shares - as compared to the 30.28 million shares changing hands in the decliners.

The major winners in the "big guns" were -

  • AMP Limited (AMP), +$0.22 (3.3%) to $6.88 on volume of 11.8m shares;
  • Amcor (AMC), +$0.18 (2.8%) to $6.60 on volume of 5.83m shares;
  • Foster's Group (FGL), +$0.10 (1.94%) to $5.26 on volume of 5.88m shares;
  • Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC), +$0.32 (1.66%) to $19.59 on volume of 6.16m shares; and
  • National Australia Bank (NAB), +$0.47 (1.54%) to $30.92 on volume of 9.81m shares.

The following stocks made up the biggest percentage losers in the big-guns:

  • Wesfarmers (WES), -$0.55 (1.49%) to $36.25 on volume of 857,000 shares;
  • Alumina (AWC), -$0.07 (1.22%) to $5.66 on volume of 5.19m shares;
  • Rio Tinto (RIO), -$0.45 (1.03%) to $43.18 on volume of 3.42m shares;
  • BHP Billiton (BHP), -$0.14 (0.85%) to $16.29 on volume of 15.74m shares; and
  • QBE Insurance Group (QBE), -$0.04 (0.27%) to $14.81 on volume of 838,000 shares.

At the smaller end of the market's capitalisation scale, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index rose by 9.30 points (0.43%), finishing at 2157.90 points. Of the 194 stocks in the index, 84 rose and 66 fell. Volume was actually tilted in favour of the losers by a margin of 1.7:1, with 73.64 million shares traded in  losers compared to 43.35million shares traded in  gainers. The major winners in the "pop-guns" were -

  • Integrated Group (IWF), +$0.14 (8.38%) to $1.81 on volume of 109,000 shares;
  • Great Southern Plantations (GTP), +$0.24 (7.06%) to $3.64 on volume of 1.78m shares;
  • Agenix (AGX), +$0.02 (6.67%) to $0.32 on volume of 377,000 shares;
  • Emperor Mines (EMP), +$0.02 (6.45%) to $0.33 on volume of 31,000 shares; and
  • Pacifica Group (PBB), +$0.09 (6.38%) to $1.50 on volume of 1.62m shares.

The losingest-little-guys for the session were (in order of decline):

  • Village Life Ltd (VLL), -$0.10 (18.18%) to $0.45 on volume of 14.39m shares;
  • Ventracor (VCR), -$0.17 (14.17%) to $1.03 on volume of 12.36m shares; and
  • Rebel Sport (REB), -$0.24 (10.26%) to $2.10 on volume of 67,000 shares;
  • Perilya (PEM), -$0.06 (7.32%) to $0.76 on volume of 277,000 shares; and
  • Multiemedia (MUL), -$0.00 (5.88%) to $0.02 on volume of 3.42m shares.
Index Changes
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
XAO All Ordinaries 3979.2 20.6 0.52% 572.34m
XTL S&P/ASX 20 2199.6 14.7 0.67% 105.65m
XFL S&P/ASX 50 4000.8 25.9 0.65% 0
XTO S&P/ASX 100 3285.9 19.4 0.59% 0
XJO S&P/ASX 200 4028.9 23.2 0.58% 455.25m
XKO S&P/ASX 300 4021.8 23.2 0.58% 0
XMD S&P/ASX Mid-Cap 50 3844.7 9.6 0.25% 0
XSO S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries 2157.9 9.3 0.43% 162.12m

All Ordinaries Market Internals

Market Breadth

XAO XJO XSO ASX20 Market
Advances 208 103 84 13 473
Declines 159 68 66 7 391
Advancing Volume 282.4m 250.23m 43.35m 75.37 405.46
Declining Volume 168.21m 126.07m 73.64m 30.28 254.47

S&P/ASX200 GICS Sector Indices

The top sector for the day was Information Technology which gained 1.45% to 343.10 points. The sector only has 7 components, and today 5 rose while just 1 fell (Infomedia fell 1c). and Baycorp Advantage was unchanged.  Volume was tilted in favour of the  gainers by a margin of 6.5:1, with 4.65million shares traded in  gainers while 720k shares were traded in IFM  The sector was helped by

  • ERG (ERG), +$0.02 (5.88%) to $0.27 on volume of 2.09m shares;
  • IRESS Market Technology (IRE), +$0.10 (2.69%) to $3.82 on volume of 123,000 shares;
  • Vision Systems. (VSL), +$0.03 (2.44%) to $1.05 on volume of 331,000 shares;
  • Computershare. (CPU), +$0.08 (1.55%) to $5.23 on volume of 1.35m shares; and
  • MYOB (MYO), +$0.02 (1.53%) to $1.00 on volume of 748,000 shares.

Second in the sector leadership stakes was Telecommunications which gained 1.39% to 1753.10 points. This sector - as you probably know by now - is a 2-stock wonder, with the overwhelming bulk of the index's changes determined by the price action in Telstra.  Today -

  • Telstra Corporation (TLS), +$0.07 (1.45%) to $4.91 on volume of 14.48m shares;
  • Telecom Corporation Of New Zealand (TEL), +$0.06 (1.08%) to $5.62 on volume of 3.54m shares.

The bronze today went to ASX200 Financials ex Property Trusts which gained 1.28% to 5022.00 points. Of the 27 stocks in the sector, 18 rose while 5 fell. Volume was tilted in favour of the  gainers by a ridiculous margin of 29.1:1, with 50.37million shares traded in  gainers while a paltry 1.73million shares traded in the sector's losers  The sector was led by

  • Record Investments (RCD), +$0.21 (4.41%) to $4.97 on volume of 517,000 shares;
  • AXA Asia Pacific Holdings (AXA), +$0.16 (3.77%) to $4.40 on volume of 2.62m shares;
  • AMP Limited (AMP), +$0.22 (3.3%) to $6.88 on volume of 11.8m shares;
  • SFE Corporation (SFE), +$0.25 (2.72%) to $9.45 on volume of 699,000 shares; and
  • Lend Lease Corporation (LLC), +$0.30 (2.51%) to $12.25 on volume of 1.9m shares.

The worst-performed sector today was Utilities which lost 0.78% to 4806.70 points. The sector contains 8 stocks, and today 4 rose and only 3 fell (Pacific Hydro was unchanged). Still, market cap weighting means that if our big components fall, the sector probably does so as well. Volume was tilted in favour of the losers by a margin of 1.5:1, with 2.12million shares traded in  losers while 1.45million shares traded in the sector's advancing stocks. The sector was dragged lower by

  • Alinta (ALN), -$0.14 (1.48%) to $9.32 on volume of 1.05m shares;
  • Energy Developments (ENE), -$0.05 (1.32%) to $3.75 on volume of 103,000 shares; and
  • Australian Gas Light Company (AGL), -$0.16 (1.15%) to $13.81 on volume of 962,000 shares.

Just in front of last place on the sector table was Energy which lost 0.49% to 8197.50 points - chalk that up to the downdraft in Crude Oil overnight. The sector was pulled down by

  • Hardman Resources (HDR), -$0.03 (1.69%) to $1.74 on volume of 2.59m shares;
  • Santos (STO), -$0.13 (1.31%) to $9.77 on volume of 3.95m shares; and
  • Australian Worldwide Exploration (AWE), -$0.02 (1.2%) to $1.65 on volume of 306,000 shares;
  • Caltex Australia (CTX), -$0.13 (0.89%) to $14.55 on volume of 478,000 shares; and
  • Roc Oil Company (ROC), -$0.01 (0.58%) to $1.73 on volume of 272,000 shares.
Sector Indices
Code GICS Sector Close +/- % Volume
XIJ Information Technology 343.1 4.9 1.45% 5.73m
XTJ Telecommunications 1753.1 24 1.39% 18.03m
XXJ ASX200 Financials ex Property Trusts 5022 63.6 1.28% 61.75m
XSJ Consumer Staples 5357.7 54.1 1.02% 63.07m
XFJ Financials 4918.6 49.5 1.02% 169.33m
XDJ Consumer Discretionary 2078.5 15.4 0.75% 37.21m
XNJ Industrials 4722.4 5.1 0.11% 48.35m
XPJ Property Trusts 1741.5 1.4 0.08% 111.36m
XHJ Healthcare 4795.3 -7.6 -0.16% 19.97m
XMJ Materials 6661 -15.7 -0.24% 78.58m
XEJ Energy 8197.5 -40 -0.49% 18.17m
XUJ Utilities 4806.7 -37.8 -0.78% 4.24m

All Ordinaries Major Movers

All Ords Volume Leaders
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
DRT DB Rreef Trust 1.34 0 0% 24.62m
SRP Southcorp 4.27 0.01 0.23% 24.56m
BHP BHP Billiton 16.29 -0.14 -0.85% 15.74m
TLS Telstra Corporation. 4.91 0.07 1.45% 14.48m
VLL Village Life Ltd 0.45 -0.1 -18.18% 14.39m
MAP Macquarie Airports 3.3 -0.08 -2.37% 13.51m


All Ords Percentage Gainers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
PNA Pan Australian Resources 0.24 0.03 11.63% 4.11m
IWF Integrated Group 1.81 0.14 8.38% 109260
MST Metal Storm 0.15 0.01 7.14% 794647
GTP Great Southern Plantations 3.64 0.24 7.06% 1.78m
AGX Agenix 0.32 0.02 6.67% 376578


All Ords Percentage Decliners
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
VLL Village Life Ltd 0.45 -0.1 -18.18% 14.39m
VCR Ventracor 1.03 -0.17 -14.17% 12.36m
REB Rebel Sport 2.1 -0.24 -10.26% 66952
EPT Epitan 0.45 -0.05 -10% 1.05m
AAU Adcorp Australia 0.75 -0.08 -9.64% 1.37m

Elsewhere in the Region...

Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 42.76 points (-0.38%) to close at 11077.94 points after spending much of the day oscillating around 11100. The index hit a high of 11135.5 in the first half-hour, set its session low at 11069.69 points during the last minutes of the session.

The Kiwi Market advanced 26.97 points (0.93%) after threatening to move sideways for the first half hour. There was a little dip in the first ten minutes, which resulted in the session low print at 2913.75 points. But after 9:15 a.m. Auckland time, it was one-way traffic - up all the way - with the Kiwi market closing on its high tick for the day at 2940.721 points.

A total of 27 stocks within the NZSE50 rose, with volume in advancers totalling 14.1million units. Decliners numbered 11, and total volume traded in losers was 3.3million shares. That's pretty light-on, really - but let's look at the biggest percentage gainers in the Land of the Long White Cloud...

  • AMP Limited  (AMP), +NZ$0.35 (5.04%) to NZ$7.30 on volume of 12,000 shares;
  • Pumpkin Patch  (PPL), +NZ$0.12 (4.65%) to NZ$2.70 on volume of 110,000 shares;
  • Tower Limited  (TWR), +NZ$0.06 (3.23%) to NZ$1.92 on volume of 568,000 shares;
  • Air New Zealand  (AIR), +NZ$0.04 (3.05%) to NZ$1.35 on volume of 541,000 shares;
  • APN News & Media (APN), +NZ$0.14 (2.85%) to NZ$5.06 on volume of 0,000 shares; and
  • Baycorp Advantage (BCA), +NZ$0.07 (2.59%) to NZ$2.77 on volume of 90,000 shares.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index has advanced 25.52 points (0.18%) to sit at 13966.32 at lunchtime. Like all the regional bourses today (except Japan), the HK index dipped to set its session low (13928.07points) in the first half-hour, then bounced. Unlike the other regionals, the bounce didn't "stick" for the entire session (at least, it appears to have stalled). After bouncing 50 points in less than half an hour, the index set its session high (so far) at 13982.09 points just before 10:45 a.m. HK time.

Within the Hang Seng, 16 index components rose, while 5 stocks fell. Volume in the gainers in Hong Kong's big-cap index totalled 52.1million units, and total volume traded in losers was 5.7million shares. Individual stocks that contributed to the advance included...

  • Lenovo Group (0992), +HK$0.05 (2%) to HK$2.55 on volume of 5.92m shares;
  • MTR Corporation (0066), +HK$0.25 (1.9%) to HK$13.40 on volume of 4.69m shares;
  • Johnson Electronics H (0179), +HK$0.10 (1.4%) to HK$7.25 on volume of 1.23m shares;
  • Esprit Holdings (0330), +HK$0.50 (0.87%) to HK$58.00 on volume of 349,000 shares;
  • Wheelock (0020), +HK$0.10 (0.86%) to HK$11.75 on volume of 102,000 shares; and
  • China Unicom (0762), +HK$0.05 (0.81%) to HK$6.25 on volume of 3.87m shares.
Regional Indices
Country Name Close +/- % Volume
New Zealand NZSE50 2940.721 26.97 0.93% 18.97m
Japan Nikkei 225 11077.94 -42.76 -0.38% 70581
Korea KOSPI 921.21 -2.17 -0.24% 301323
Singapore Straits Times 2180.42 7.28 0.33% 0
Hong Kong Hang Seng 13965.32 25.52 0.18% 75.77m
Malaysia KLSE Comp 893.57 -5.13 -0.57% 0