Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Monday, June 19, 2006

OzRant: Bref: Un Cauchemar...

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

Now it gets interesting. Although I had forewarned everybody not to pin their hopes on a rally that was driven entirely by US-market options-expiration manipulation, I had not expected Monday's Asian session to be quite as unattractive as it turned out. It's hard to find a bright spot in the ass-kicking that the Australian market got - the only thing I can venture is that the decline took place on very modest volume.

"Cauchemar" is Froggish for 'nightmare' - like Friday night's dream about being chased by a partially decomposed supernatural clown.... or (and what is worse) what I face at the moment. I STILL get the BSoD ("Blue Screen of Death" if I try to do anytihng that is computer-resource-intensive (like, say, using a 25x25 matrix of historical index correlations to try and calculate sensible industry 'tilts' in the portfolios... that shouldn't be too hard since the matrix is symmetric). Anyhow - I thought I would dash of a quick OzRant before getting back to the Portfolio stuff.

Major Market Indices

The broad market - the ASX All Ordinaries (XAO) - fell by 62.30 points (-1.26%), finishing at 4869.90 points. The index hit an intraday high of 4925.90 (at the open) and a relentless afternoon decline saw the index finish at its low (4869.9 points).

Total volume traded on the ASX was 830 million units, 31.0% below its 10-day average. Of the 495 active stocks in the All Ordinaries index, 194 fell while 79 managed a gain. Volume was tilted in favour of the losers by a margin of 4.0:1, with 309.49million shares traded in losers while 78.18million shares traded in the day's gainers.

The Index that forms the cash basis for the SFE's Share Price Index Futures - the S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) - fell by 67.80 points (-1.36%), finishing at 4901.20 points.

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders (XTL) - fell by 36.60 points (-1.36%), finishing at 2658.80 points. Within the index members, only 1 rose, and the other 19 lost ground for the day. Total volume in rising issues within the ASX20 amounted to 3.29m untis while volume in the losers totalled 89.17m units.

The only winners in the "big guns" was Rinker Group (RIN), +$0.010 (0.06%) to $16.970 on volume of 3.29m shares.

The following stocks made up the biggest percentage losers in the big-guns:

  • Alumina (AWC), -$0.220 (3.38%) to $6.280 on volume of 8.81m shares;
  • Rio Tinto (RIO), -$2.10 (2.73%) to $74.80 on volume of 1.47m shares;
  • BHP Billiton (BHP), -$0.63 (2.3%) to $26.80 on volume of 14.6m shares;
  • AMP Limited (AMP), -$0.20 (2.29%) to $8.52 on volume of 3.82m shares;
  • Coles Myer Ltd (CML), -$0.23 (1.96%) to $11.48 on volume of 3.72m shares.

At the smaller end of the market's capitalisation scale, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index (XSO) fell by 32.30 points (-1.15%), finishing at 2775.60 points. The major winners in the "pop-guns" were -

  • Globe International (GLB), +$0.045 (20.45%) to $0.265 on volume of 649,000 shares;
  • Kagara Zinc (KZL), +$0.370 (10%) to $4.070 on volume of 2.05m shares; and
  • Agenix (AGX), +$0.015 (10%) to $0.165 on volume of 864,000 shares; and
  • Gasnet Australia Group (GAS), +$0.230 (9.62%) to $2.620 on volume of 1.82m shares; and
  • Sirtex Medical (SRX), +$0.200 (8.89%) to $2.450 on volume of 10,000 shares.

The losingest-little-guys for the session were (in order of decline):

  • Kingsgate Consolidated (KCN), -$0.410 (8.47%) to $4.430 on volume of 237,000 shares;
  • Zinifex (ZFX), -$0.800 (7.97%) to $9.240 on volume of 6.5m shares; and
  • Great Southern Plantations (GTP), -$0.270 (7.46%) to $3.350 on volume of 7.59m shares; and
  • Kimberley Diamond Company (KIM), -$0.090 (7.03%) to $1.190 on volume of 377,000 shares; and
  • Sally Malay Mining (SMY), -$0.060 (5.61%) to $1.010 on volume of 171,000 shares.
Index Changes
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
XAO All Ordinaries 4869.9 -62.3 -1.26% 445.16m
XTL S&P/ASX 20 2658.8 -36.6 -1.36% 0
XFL S&P/ASX 50 4796.9 -64.9 -1.33% 159.5m
XTO S&P/ASX 100 3979.4 -54.5 -1.35% 286.72m
XJO S&P/ASX 200 4901.2 -67.8 -1.36% 363.23m
XKO S&P/ASX 300 4896.8 -66 -1.33% 0
XMD S&P/ASX Mid-Cap 50 4932.3 -72.1 -1.44% 0
XSO S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries 2775.6 -32.3 -1.15% 128.6m

All Ordinaries Market Internals

The internals for all the indices were "equi-craptastic"; large tilts in volume in favour of decliners dominated, and there is a touch of 'babies and bathwater' about today's advance/decline statistics. Still, it seems as if some institutional money has adopted the same view as your intrepid correspondent (well, I say "intrepid", but I was a bit trepid the other night when I had a bad dream about a semi-decomposed ghost clown...)

Market Breadth
ASX20 XTO XJO XAO XSO Market
Advances 1 11 31 79 46 355
Declines 19 73 137 194 104 668
Advancing Volume 3.29m 9.85m 33.9m 78.18 46.79 160.9
Declining Volume 89.17m 238.46m 288.3m 309.49 70.84 516.9

S&P/ASX200 GICS Sector Indices

No sectors rose today. Ain't that sum'in?.

The worst-performed sector today was XEJ Energy which lost 2.36% to 11691.50 points. The sector was dragged lower by

  • Oil Search (OSH), -$0.160 (4.02%) to $3.820 on volume of 3.95m shares;
  • Hardman Resources (HDR), -$0.060 (3.61%) to $1.600 on volume of 5.2m shares;
  • Arc Energy (ARQ), -$0.055 (3.61%) to $1.470 on volume of 457,000 shares;
  • Origin Energy (ORG), -$0.210 (3.07%) to $6.640 on volume of 790,000 shares; and
  • Santos (STO), -$0.290 (2.53%) to $11.160 on volume of 1.65m shares.

Just in front of last place on the sector table was XMJ Materials which lost 2.30% to 10053.50 points. The sector was pulled down by

  • Kingsgate Consolidated (KCN), -$0.410 (8.47%) to $4.430 on volume of 237,000 shares;
  • Zinifex (ZFX), -$0.800 (7.97%) to $9.240 on volume of 6.5m shares;
  • Great Southern Plantations (GTP), -$0.270 (7.46%) to $3.350 on volume of 7.59m shares;
  • Kimberley Diamond Company (KIM), -$0.090 (7.03%) to $1.190 on volume of 377,000 shares; and
  • Centennial Coal Company (CEY), -$0.120 (3.77%) to $3.060 on volume of 612,000 shares.
Sector Indices
Code GICS Sector Close +/- % Volume
XFJ Financials 5717.1 -55.4 0% 127.76m
XUJ Utilities 5804.1 -5.9 -0.1% 5.61m
XIJ Information Technology 480.2 -2.4 -0.5% 4.69m
XPJ Property Trusts 1977.3 -14.3 -0.72% 102.05m
XTJ Telecommunications 1282.8 -11 -0.85% 38.52m
XXJ ASX200 Financials ex Property Trusts 5874.7 -61 -1.03% 29.55m
XSJ Consumer Staples 6142.4 -64 -1.03% 13.09m
XDJ Consumer Discretionary 2270.2 -26.6 -1.16% 22.38m
XNJ Industrials 5352.3 -67.1 -1.24% 36.02m
XHJ Healthcare 6288.9 -96.8 -1.52% 8.42m
XMJ Materials 10053.5 -237.2 -2.3% 88.37m
XEJ Energy 11691.5 -283.2 -2.36% 16.26m

All Ordinaries Major Movers

All Ords Volume Leaders
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
TLS Telstra Corporation 3.69 -0.03 -0.81% 32.64m
MCW Macquarie Countrywide Trust 1.93 -0.01 -0.26% 19.66m
DRT DB Rreef Trust 1.5 0 0% 15.73m
LHG Lihir Gold 2.74 -0.07 -2.49% 15.43m
BHP BHP Billiton 26.8 -0.63 -2.3% 14.6m
PNA Pan Australian Resources 0.35 0.02 6.06% 13.29m
All Ords Percentage Gainers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
GLB Globe International 0.27 0.05 20.45% 648853
KZL Kagara Zinc 4.07 0.37 10% 2.05m
AGX Agenix 0.17 0.02 10% 863803
GAS Gasnet Australia Group 2.62 0.23 9.62% 1.82m
NLX Nylex 0.054 0.004 8% 9.5m
All Ords Percentage Decliners
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated 4.43 -0.41 -8.47% 237357
ZFX Zinifex 9.24 -0.8 -7.97% 6.5m
GTP Great Southern Plantations 3.35 -0.27 -7.46% 7.59m
KIM Kimberley Diamond Company 1.19 -0.09 -7.03% 377261
SMY Sally Malay Mining 1.01 -0.06 -5.61% 170898

Elsewhere in the Region...

Regional Indices
Country Name Close +/- % Volume
New Zealand NZSE50 3564.515 5.64 0.16% 22.65m
Japan Nikkei 225 14860.35 -18.99 -0.13% -na-
Korea KOSPI 1251.67 -10.52 -0.83% -na-
Singapore Straits Times 2367.9 -6.01 -0.25% -na-
Hong Kong Hang Seng 15768.86 -73.79 -0.47% 220.58m
Malaysia KLSE Comp 889.51 -3.99 -0.45% -na-