Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

OzRant: Never in the Hunt...

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

Oh me, oh my... Strayan stocks were about as popular as the fabled red headed stepchild; nobody loved them. In fact, they were like a red-headed stepchild with freckles the size of postage stamps.

The interesting thing about the decline, is that the overwhelming bulk of it happened after 2 p.m.; at that time the All Ords was well above 5660, but the late afternoon failure was a sight to behold.

No volume spike though - volume was less than tepid. Thus there has still been no nuffie capitulation yet. So there is still no reason to reverse our short bias; as I've said before, this leg down will finish with a morning plunge on huge early volume - and some of us will be there to pick up some super-cheap leveraged longside exposure.

Don't get me wrong - the coming bounce won't have legs, but it will be hugely profitable for anyone who is prepared to clench their teeth, screw the c. to the s.p., and go against their gut instincts. It will only just be long-lived enough to justify removing all hedges from the Model Portfolios.

Major Market Indices

The broad market - the All Ordinaries (XAO) - dipped reasonably hard, registering a loss of 111.3 points (1.96%), finishing at 5577.3 points. The index hit an intraday high of 5701 at 10:08 am, while the low for the day was 5586.3 - set at 3:53 pm Sydney time.

Total volume traded on the ASX was 1.38 billion units, 4% below its 10-day average (the 10-day average is also falling). The ASX's daily listing of all stocks included 1371 different 3-letter FPO's which traded (i.e., had non-zero trade volume). Of these, 451 issues rose, with volume in rising issues totalling 474.9 million units. The losers numbered 633, with aggregate volume traded of 790.1 million shares.

Of the 478 All Ordinaries components, 147 rose while 265 fell. Volume was tilted in favour of the losers by a margin of 2.7:1, with 207.7 million shares traded in gainers while 570.28 million shares traded in the day's losers.

The Index that forms the cash basis for the SFE's Share Price Index Futures - the S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) - dipped pretty savagely, shedding 122.6 points (2.18%), closing out the session at 5496.5 points.

GT Intraday Chart
Name Close +/-(%)
All Ordinaries 5577.30 -111.30 (2.0%)
ASX 50 5304.30 -129.90 (2.4%)
ASX 200 5496.50 -122.60 (2.2%)
ASX 300 5504.60 -119.30 (2.1%)
ASX Mid-Cap 50 5787.00 -92.50 (1.6%)
ASX Small Ordinaries 3324.40 -32.50 (1.0%)
ASX 20 2999.70 -77.90 (2.5%)
ASX 100 4439.10 -102.70 (2.3%)

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders (XTL) - was taken to the woodshed, sliding 77.9 points (2.53%), closing out the session at 2999.7 points.

Among the 20 big guns, 3 index components finished to the upside, and of the rest, 17 closed lower for the session. The 21 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 166.56 million units; 3 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 11.73 million shares, while the 17 decliners had volume traded totalling 151.95 million units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • CSL Limited (CSL), +$2.85 (8.99%) to $34.55 on volume of 5.3 million shares;
  • Woodside Petroleum Limited (WPL), +$2.33 (4.55%) to $53.59 on volume of 3.3 million shares; and
  • Woolworths Limited (WOW), +$0.03 (0.11%) to $27.53 on volume of 3.1 million shares.

On the less salubrious side of the big-cap fence, the following stocks were the worst-performed within the index:

  • Macquarie Group Limited (MQG), -$3.39 (5.97%) to $53.35 on volume of 3.6 million shares;
  • Brambles Limited (BXB), -$0.57 (5.78%) to $9.30 on volume of 6.4 million shares;
  • Wesfarmers Limited (WES), -$1.95 (5.29%) to $34.90 on volume of 3.6 million shares;
  • AMP Limited (AMP), -$0.34 (4.24%) to $7.68 on volume of 10.7 million shares; and
  • Stockland (SGP), -$0.28 (3.67%) to $7.34 on volume of 4 million shares.

At the other end of the market-cap spectrum lie the denizens of the ASX Small Ordinaries (XSO). The small end of the market , while still dropping overall, did significantly better than its large-cap counterpart. The Small Ords slid modestly, falling 32.5 points (0.97%), closing out the session at 3324.4 points.

Among the stocks that make up the Small Caps index, 62 index components finished to the upside, and of the rest, 117 closed lower for the session.

The 192 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 242.37 million units: volume in the 62 gainers totalling 92.42 million shares, with trade totalling 140.75 million units in the index's 117 declining components. The major percentage gainers within the index were
  • Rubicon America Trust (RAT), +$0.03 (12%) to $0.28 on volume of 1.1 million shares;
  • Macmahon Holdings Limited (MAH), +$0.14 (9.85%) to $1.51 on volume of 3.8 million shares;
  • The Reject Shop Limited (TRS), +$0.88 (8.84%) to $10.83 on volume of 72.5 thousand shares;
  • Gloucester Coal Limited (GCL), +$0.60 (7.94%) to $8.16 on volume of 806.7 thousand shares; and
  • Aditya Birla Minerals limited (ABY), +$0.16 (7.37%) to $2.33 on volume of 4 million shares.

In the red-zone of the little-stock index, the following list represents the biggest downers (in terms of percentage decline):

  • Riversdale Mining Limited (RIV), -$0.75 (9.55%) to $7.10 on volume of 3.4 million shares;
  • Skilled Group Limited (SKE), -$0.43 (9.27%) to $4.21 on volume of 2.3 million shares;
  • APN/UKA European Retail Property Group (AEZ), -$0.07 (8.97%) to $0.71 on volume of 407.8 thousand shares;
  • AED Oil Limited (AED), -$0.16 (8.6%) to $1.70 on volume of 3.3 million shares; and
  • Commander Communications Limited (CDR), -$0.02 (8.11%) to $0.17 on volume of 850.4 thousand shares.

Index Changes
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
XAO All Ordinaries 5577.3 -111.3 -1.96 820.1m
XFL ASX 50 5304.3 -129.9 -2.39 324.4m
XJO ASX 200 5496.5 -122.6 -2.18 672.3m
XKO ASX 300 5504.6 -119.3 -2.12 755.2m
XMD ASX Mid-Cap 50 5787 -92.5 -1.57 188.4m
XSO ASX Small Ordinaries 3324.4 -32.5 -0.97 242.4m
XTL ASX 20 2999.7 -77.9 -2.53 166.6m
XTO ASX 100 4439.1 -102.7 -2.26 512.8m
Market Breadth
ASX20 XTO XJO XAO XSO Market
Advances 3 17 18 147 62 451
Declines 17 80 80 264 117 633
Advancing Volume 11.7m 94.1m 95.2m 207.7m 92.4m 474.9 million
Declining Volume 152m 404.7m 404.7m 564.4m 140.8m 790.1 million
GICS Industry Indices

Among the 11 industry indices, 3 registered an advance for the session, the remaining 8 lost ground.

The best performing index was Healthcare (XHJ), which added 286.5 points (3.37%) to 8785.3 points. The 9 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 13.15 million units; The lone rising index component had volume amounting to 5.27 million shares, while the 8 decliners had volume traded totalling 7.88 million units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • CSL Limited (CSL), +$2.85 (8.99%) to $34.55 on volume of 5.3 million shares.

Second in the index leadership stakes was Information Technology (XIJ), which gained 6.1 points (1.25%) to 494.6 points. The 2 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 2.38 million units; The lone rising index component had volume amounting to 1.89 million shares, while sole declining stock traded 0.48 million units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • Computershare Limited (CPU), +$0.17 (2.01%) to $8.63 on volume of 1.9 million shares.

The bronze medal for today goes to Energy (XEJ), which climbed 133.1 points (0.91%) to 14834.7 points. The 18 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 44.35 million units; 7 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 22.3 million shares, while the 10 decliners had volume traded totalling 18.49 million units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • Woodside Petroleum Limited (WPL), +$2.33 (4.55%) to $53.59 on volume of 3.3 million shares;
  • Santos Limited (STO), +$0.39 (2.8%) to $14.31 on volume of 2.9 million shares;
  • Centennial Coal Company Limited (CEY), +$0.06 (1.41%) to $4.32 on volume of 3.4 million shares;
  • Oil Search Limited (OSH), +$0.05 (1.14%) to $4.43 on volume of 9.1 million shares; and
  • Arrow Energy NL (AOE), +$0.02 (0.88%) to $2.30 on volume of 1.6 million shares.

The worst-performed index for the session was Property Trusts (XPJ), which dipped 63.6 points (3.43%) to 1790.3 points. The 20 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 137.21 million units; The 18 decliners had volume traded totalling 127.3 million units, and 2 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 9.92 million shares, The major percentage decliners within the index were

  • APN/UKA European Retail Property Group (AEZ), -$0.07 (8.97%) to $0.71 on volume of 407.8 thousand shares;
  • Macquarie Office Trust (MOF), -$0.07 (5.44%) to $1.13 on volume of 12.8 million shares;
  • Centro Properties Group (CNP), -$0.03 (4.81%) to $0.50 on volume of 25.2 million shares;
  • Macquarie DDR Trust (MDT), -$0.03 (4.51%) to $0.64 on volume of 3.6 million shares; and
  • DB RREEF Trust (DRT), -$0.08 (4.26%) to $1.69 on volume of 11.5 million shares.

Just missing out on the wooden spoon was ASX200 Financials ex Property Trusts (XXJ), which slid 180 points (3.16%) to 5518.7 points. The 28 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 85.35 million units; The 24 decliners had volume traded totalling 81.72 million units, and 2 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 0.61 million shares, The major percentage decliners within the index were

  • Macquarie Group Limited (MQG), -$3.39 (5.97%) to $53.35 on volume of 3.6 million shares;
  • Sunland Group Limited (SDG), -$0.16 (4.55%) to $3.36 on volume of 719.2 thousand shares;
  • Lend Lease Corporation Limited (LLC), -$0.6 (4.33%) to $13.25 on volume of 1.6 million shares;
  • AMP Limited (AMP), -$0.34 (4.24%) to $7.68 on volume of 10.7 million shares; and
  • Challenger Financial Services Group Limited (CGF), -$0.1 (3.7%) to $2.60 on volume of 1.7 million shares.

Third-to-last amongst the sector indices was Consumer Staples (XSJ), which slid 238.6 points (3.06%) to 7550.5 points. The 10 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 27.9 million units; The 7 decliners had volume traded totalling 23.48 million units, and 3 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 4.42 million shares, The major percentage decliners within the index were

  • Wesfarmers Limited (WES), -$1.95 (5.29%) to $34.90 on volume of 3.6 million shares;
  • Futuris Corporation Limited (FCL), -$0.07 (3.41%) to $1.98 on volume of 4.3 million shares;
  • Coca-Cola Amatil Limited (CCL), -$0.26 (2.61%) to $9.69 on volume of 2.5 million shares;
  • Metcash Limited (MTS), -$0.1 (2.45%) to $3.98 on volume of 2.2 million shares; and
  • Foster's Group Limited (FGL), -$0.13 (2.25%) to $5.64 on volume of 8.1 million shares.

Sector Indices
Code GICS Sector Close +/- % Volume
XHJ Healthcare 8785.3 286.5 3.37 13m
XIJ Information Technology 494.6 6.1 1.25 2m
XEJ Energy 14834.7 133.1 0.91 44m
XMJ Materials 14743.6 -255.1 -1.7 162m
XTJ Telecommunications 1654.2 -31.9 -1.89 67m
XDJ Consumer Discretionary 2279.7 -58.1 -2.49 39m
XNJ Industrials 5461.4 -146.6 -2.61 73m
XUJ Utilities 5869.8 -161 -2.67 22m
XSJ Consumer Staples 7550.5 -238.6 -3.06 28m
XXJ ASX200 Financials ex Property Trusts 5518.7 -180 -3.16 85m
XPJ Property Trusts 1790.3 -63.6 -3.43 137m

All Ordinaries Major Movers

All Ords Volume Leaders
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
TLS Telstra Corporation Limited. 4.71 -0.06 -1.26 31.6m
CNP Centro Properties Group 0.50 -0.03 -4.81 25.2m
TLSCA Telstra (Installment Receipts) 3.13 -0.07 -2.19 22.8m
OXR Oxiana Limited 3.43 0.06 1.78 20.3m
CRT Consolidated Rutile Limited 0.50 0.00 0 18.1m
All Ords Percentage Gainers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
EWC Energy World Corporation Ltd 1.22 0.14 12.96 6.5m
RAT Rubicon America Trust 0.28 0.03 12 1.1m
KAR Karoon Gas Australia Limited 2.35 0.24 11.37 226.1k
PFG Prime Financial Group Limited 0.50 0.05 11.11 203.7k
MAH Macmahon Holdings Limited 1.51 0.14 9.85 3.8m
All Ords Percentage Losers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
PBD Port Bouvard Limited 1.24 -0.16 -11.43 161.6k
VBA Virgin Blue Holdings Limited 1.33 -0.15 -10.14 2.3m
RIV Riversdale Mining Limited 7.10 -0.75 -9.55 3.4m
SKE Skilled Group Limited 4.21 -0.43 -9.27 2.3m
CPK CP1 Limited 0.40 -0.04 -9.09 95k