Interdum stultus opportuna loquitur...

Wednesday, August 06, 2008

OzRant: BOINGGG for Bernanke...

Note - from June 24th 2009, this blog has migrated from Blogger to a self-hosted version. Click here to go straight there.

EDIT [noon, Froggish time]. Seriously, what is the point of doing a spell check if you have already copied the HTML into the paste buffer? "exchange", not exhcange; and "lure", not pure. Idiot.

Any stock exchange that wants to be taken seriously has to get rid of stupid mechanisms that 'stagger' the market open. Maybe the ASX has an old guy who goes around switching on ten different PCs, or maybe it's just a stupid historical vestige.

The staggered open makes absolutely no sense otherwise: if a system can handle normal intraday trade, why can't it handle the open? 

If it is a question of computing power, that would be the worst excuse in the world... it is pretty easy to calculate the MIPS required to run an exchange of 1500 stocks trading 300 times a second, and frankly it's child's play.

But the staggered open persists in many exchanges, and it stuffs up the index readings; on 'gap up' days like today, it is almost always the case that the NYSE and the ASX data will both show the low as equal to the open, which is almost always equal to (or little changed from) the prior close. This can happen even if more than half of the stocks on the exchange gap up - if gaps happen in only a small proportion of the stocks that open in the first round of the stagger.

Today for example. If you had a clever ability to establish how many stocks gapped up, you would find it to have been a great proportion of all stocks. And yet the Low for the All Ords will go down in the data as being equal to the prior close. That is just STUPID.

Major Market Indices

The broad market - the All Ordinaries (XAO) - surged a whopping 136.1 points (2.79%), finishing at 5018.1 points. Without a concerted push in the last half hour, the index would not have finished above 5000; there was clearly a sentiment that such a close was required in order to lure in more punters.

The index hit an intraday high of 5028.1 at 11:51 am, while the low for the day was 4882 - the prior day's close; the traded low was more like 4950, about ten minutes into the session. 

Total volume traded on the ASX was pretty abysmal at only 1.27bn units, 1.6% below its 10-day average (and that average was dramatically reduced by the pitiful 840-million share day on Monday). 

The ASX's daily listing of all stocks included 1331 different 3-letter FPO's which traded (i.e., had non-zero trade volume). Of these, 586 issues rose, with volume in rising issues totalling 794m units; decliners numbered 445 counters, and between them they traded aggregate declining volume of 358.8m shares.

Of the 493 All Ordinaries components, 292 rose while 132 fell. Volume was tilted in favour of the gainers by a margin of 3.1:1, with 692.88m shares traded in gainers while 224.48m shares traded in the day's losers.

The Index that forms the cash basis for the SFE's Share Price Index Futures - the S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) - hurtled skyward to the tune of 148.7 points (3.08%), closing out the session at 4969.1 points.


Name Close +/-(%)
All Ordinaries 5018.10 136.10 (2.8%)
ASX 20 2821.90 103.20 (3.8%)
ASX 50 4879.90 164.20 (3.5%)
ASX 100 4027.80 122.20 (3.1%)
ASX 200 4969.10 148.70 (3.1%)
ASX 300 4962.10 146.10 (3.0%)
ASX Mid-Cap 50 4842.80 46.80 (1.0%)
ASX Small Ordinaries 2825.80 59.70 (2.2%)

The "heavy hitters" of the Australian market - the ASX 20 Leaders (XTL) - had a bit of a moonshot, stacking on 103.2 points (3.80%), closing out the session at 2821.9 points. So size rotation made a comeback at hte first conceivable juncture... yet ore evidence that we have not seen the lows for this market.

Among the 20 big guns, things were relatively upbeat: only one index component sought to rain on the bull's parade. The 20 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 148.28m units; 19 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 146.42m shares, while the sole declining stock traded 1.87m units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • Stockland (SGP), +$0.42 (9.55%) to $4.82 on volume of 10.8 million shares;
  • QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE), +$1.39 (6.3%) to $23.47 on volume of 5.1 million shares;
  • Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA), +$2.58 (6.25%) to $43.83 on volume of 5.6 million shares;
  • ANZ Banking Group Limited (ANZ), +$1.01 (5.94%) to $18.02 on volume of 11.2 million shares; and
  • St George Bank Limited (SGB), +$1.41 (5.14%) to $28.85 on volume of 1.9 million shares.

On the less salubrious side of the big-cap fence, poor old Woodside contnues to be pummelled as Crude prices remain soft:

  • Woodside Petroleum Limited (WPL), -$0.41 (0.8%) to $50.79 on volume of 1.9 million shares.

At the other end of the market-cap spectrum lie the denizens of the ASX Small Ordinaries (XSO). The small end of the market significantly underperformed its large-cap counterpart - as I mentioned above, size rotation is back. Still, today's move in the Small Ords qualifies as a moonshot; the index added 59.7 points (2.16%), closing out the session at 2825.8 points.

The 195 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 306.44m units: volume in the 126 gainers totalling 163.09m shares, with trade totalling 111.75m units in the index's 50 declining components. The major percentage gainers within the index were
  • Mirvac Industrial Trust (MIX), +$0.04 (19.05%) to $0.25 on volume of 418.6 thousand shares;
  • Aquarius Platinum Limited (AQP), +$1.50 (17.42%) to $10.11 on volume of 1.5 million shares;
  • Rubicon America Trust (RAT), +$0.01 (15.85%) to $0.10 on volume of 584.3 thousand shares;
  • Macquarie DDR Trust (MDT), +$0.05 (15%) to $0.35 on volume of 12.5 million shares; and
  • ResMed Inc. (RMD), +$0.57 (14.14%) to $4.60 on volume of 3 million shares.

In the red-zone of the little-stock index, the following list represents the biggest downers (in terms of percentage decline):

  • Albidon Limited (ALB), -$0.37 (14.98%) to $2.10 on volume of 1.2 million shares;
  • St Barbara Limited (SBM), -$0.03 (11.9%) to $0.19 on volume of 24.1 million shares;
  • Admiralty Resources NL (ADY), -$0.02 (11.76%) to $0.15 on volume of 13 million shares;
  • Deep Yellow Limited (DYL), -$0.02 (8.51%) to $0.22 on volume of 2 million shares; and
  • Perilya Limited (PEM), -$0.03 (6.98%) to $0.40 on volume of 4 million shares.

Index Changes
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
XAO All Ordinaries 5018.1 136.1 2.79 956.1m
XFL ASX 50 4879.9 164.2 3.48 370.1m
XJO ASX 200 4969.1 148.7 3.08 814.5m
XKO ASX 300 4962.1 146.1 3.03 897.1m
XMD ASX Mid-Cap 50 4842.8 46.8 0.98 220.5m
XSO ASX Small Ordinaries 2825.8 59.7 2.16 306.4m
XTL ASX 20 2821.9 103.2 3.8 148.3m
XTO ASX 100 4027.8 122.2 3.13 590.6m
Market Breadth
ASX20 XTO XJO XAO XSO Market
Advances 19 82 149 292 126 586
Declines 1 19 43 132 50 445
Advancing Volume 146.4m 496.9m 623.6m 692.9m 163.1m 794m
Declining Volume 1.9m 93.7m 166m 224.5m 111.7m 358.8m
GICS Industry Indices

Among the 11 industry indices, 9 registered an advance for the session, the remaining 2 lost ground.

The best performing index was Financials ex Property Trusts (XXJ), which added 241.5 points (4.99%) to 5076.6 points. So banks and insurers are up about 9% in two sessions... madness.

The 30 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 91.74m units; 25 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 86m shares, while the 3 decliners had volume traded totalling 3.02m units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • Challenger Financial Services Group Limited (CGF), +$0.21 (9.17%) to $2.50 on volume of 4.7 million shares;
  • Qbe Insurance Group Limited (QBE), +$1.39 (6.3%) to $23.47 on volume of 5.1 million shares;
  • Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA), +$2.58 (6.25%) to $43.83 on volume of 5.6 million shares;
  • ANZ Banking Group Limited (ANZ), +$1.01 (5.94%) to $18.02 on volume of 11.2 million shares; and
  • Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited (BEN), +$0.56 (5.46%) to $10.82 on volume of 700.4 thousand shares.

Second in the index leadership stakes was Information Technology (XIJ), which gained 24.3 points (4.93%) to 517.3 points. The 2 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 2.47m units - 

  • Computershare Limited (CPU), +$0.51 (5.89%) to $9.17 on volume of 2.1 million shares; and
  • Iress Market Technology Limited (IRE), +$0.24 (4.12%) to $6.07 on volume of 379.5 thousand shares.

The bronze medal for today goes to Property Trusts (XPJ), which climbed 59.4 points (4.42%) to 1402.1 points. The 21 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 159.51m units; 18 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 130.12m shares, while the 2 decliners had volume traded totalling 20.77m units. The major percentage gainers within the index were

  • Macquarie DDR Trust (MDT), +$0.05 (15%) to $0.35 on volume of 12.5 million shares;
  • Centro Retail (CER), +$0.04 (12.5%) to $0.36 on volume of 2.6 million shares;
  • APN/UKA European Retail Property Group (AEZ), +$0.03 (11.76%) to $0.28 on volume of 1.2 million shares;
  • Mirvac Group (MGR), +$0.27 (10.71%) to $2.79 on volume of 12.7 million shares; and
  • Stockland (SGP), +$0.42 (9.55%) to $4.82 on volume of 10.8 million shares.

The worst-performed index for the session was Energy (XEJ), which dipped 120.6 points (0.74%) to 16197.5 points. Hardly surprisingg given global weakness in the  underlying commodities.

The 17 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 52.3m units; The 9 decliners had volume traded totalling 40.92m units, and 8 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 11.38m shares, The major percentage decliners within the index were

  • Arrow Energy Limited (AOE), -$0.16 (5.39%) to $2.81 on volume of 4.7 million shares;
  • Centennial Coal Company Limited (CEY), -$0.15 (3.13%) to $4.65 on volume of 4.5 million shares;
  • Oil Search Limited (OSH), -$0.14 (2.67%) to $5.10 on volume of 5.5 million shares;
  • Riversdale Mining Limited (RIV), -$0.14 (1.58%) to $8.71 on volume of 5.6 million shares; and
  • Paladin Energy Limited (PDN), -$0.05 (1.04%) to $4.78 on volume of 3.6 million shares.

Just missing out on the wooden spoon was Utilities (XUJ), which slid 14.4 points (0.27%) to 5333.5 points. The 10 stocks which make up the index traded a total of 28.12m units; The 6 decliners had volume traded totalling 19.43m units, and 4 index components rose, with rising volume amounting to 8.69m shares, The major percentage decliners within the index were

  • Babcock & Brown Power (BBP), -$0.01 (1.47%) to $0.67 on volume of 2 million shares;
  • Duet Group (DUE), -$0.04 (1.36%) to $2.91 on volume of 2.3 million shares;
  • AGL Energy Limited (AGK), -$0.15 (1.15%) to $12.95 on volume of 1.5 million shares;
  • Envestra Limited (ENV), -$0.01 (0.67%) to $0.75 on volume of 1.4 million shares; and
  • Spark Infrastructure Group (SKI), -$0.01 (0.62%) to $1.61 on volume of 4.6 million shares.

Sector Indices
Code GICS Sector Close +/- % Volume
XXJ Financials ex Property Trusts 5076.6 241.5 4.99 92m
XIJ Information Technology 517.3 24.3 4.93 2m
XPJ Property Trusts 1402.1 59.4 4.42 160m
XHJ Healthcare 8606.8 310 3.74 9m
XMJ Materials 13027 382.5 3.03 190m
XSJ Consumer Staples 7253.7 167.2 2.36 34m
XNJ Industrials 4890.3 109.5 2.29 135m
XDJ Consumer Discretionary 1613.9 33 2.09 67m
XTJ Telecommunications 1546.9 8 0.52 46m
XUJ Utilities 5333.5 -14.4 -0.27 28m
XEJ Energy 16197.5 -120.6 -0.74 52m

All Ordinaries Major Movers

All Ords Volume Leaders
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
OZL OZ Minerals Limited 1.76 0.13 7.67 41.6m
TLS Telstra Corporation Limited. 4.50 0.03 0.67 41.3m
QAN Qantas Airways Limited 3.38 0.01 0.3 26.4m
SBM St Barbara Limited 0.19 -0.03 -11.9 24.1m
MIG Macquarie Infrastructure Group 2.62 0.05 1.95 23.6m
All Ords Percentage Gainers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
TMR Tamaya Resources Limited 0.05 0.01 23.08 9.8m
RNY Reckson New York Property Trust 0.27 0.05 20.45 56k
MIX Mirvac Industrial Trust 0.25 0.04 19.05 418.6k
AQP Aquarius Platinum Limited 10.11 1.50 17.42 1.5m
RAT Rubicon America Trust 0.10 0.01 15.85 584.3k
All Ords Percentage Losers
Code Name Close +/- % Volume
ALB Albidon Limited 2.10 -0.37 -14.98 1.2m
SBM St Barbara Limited 0.19 -0.03 -11.9 24.1m
ADY Admiralty Resources NL 0.15 -0.02 -11.76 13m
KMN Kings Minerals NL 0.21 -0.03 -10.87 1m
AXM Apex Minerals NL 0.44 -0.05 -9.38 2.4m